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Detecting and Explaining Causes From Text For a Time Series Event

机译:从时间序列事件的文本中检测和解释原因

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摘要

Explaining underlying causes or effects about events is a challenging butvaluable task. We define a novel problem of generating explanations of a timeseries event by (1) searching cause and effect relationships of the time serieswith textual data and (2) constructing a connecting chain between them togenerate an explanation. To detect causal features from text, we propose anovel method based on the Granger causality of time series between featuresextracted from text such as N-grams, topics, sentiments, and their composition.The generation of the sequence of causal entities requires a commonsensecausative knowledge base with efficient reasoning. To ensure goodinterpretability and appropriate lexical usage we combine symbolic and neuralrepresentations, using a neural reasoning algorithm trained on commonsensecausal tuples to predict the next cause step. Our quantitative and humananalysis show empirical evidence that our method successfully extractsmeaningful causality relationships between time series with textual featuresand generates appropriate explanation between them.
机译:解释事件的根本原因或影响是一项具有挑战性但可贵的任务。我们定义了一个新的问题,即通过以下方式生成时间序列事件的解释:(1)搜索时间序列与文本数据的因果关系,以及(2)在它们之间构建连接链以生成解释。为了检测文本中的因果特征,我们提出了基于Granger因果关系的时间序列的Granger因果关系的anovel方法,例如N元语法,主题,情感及其组成等。因果实体序列的生成需要一个常识性的因果知识库用有效的推理。为了确保良好的可解释性和适当的词汇用法,我们使用在常有因果元组上训练的神经推理算法来组合符号表示和神经表示,以预测下一个原因。我们的定量分析和人为分析显示了经验证据,表明我们的方法成功地提取了具有文本特征的时间序列之间有意义的因果关系,并在它们之间产生了适当的解释。

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